Archive for the 'Orient' Category

TOWN & COUNTRY NORTH FORK 3RD QUARTER 2015 HOME SALES REPORT

Tuesday, October 20th, 2015

TOWN & COUNTRY’S Judi A. Desiderio has been reporting on North Fork Home Sales statistics for over 20 years. This 3rd Quarter Home Sales Report epitomizes why Judi always states “The numbers don’t lie. Individual agents and companies can have record quarters, but individuals don’t make the market.” This is a true eye opener for the amount of RED throughout the report. This is a big surprise since the TOWN & COUNTRY offices are reporting 3rd Quarter sales growth in all markets. In fact, 2 markets more than doubled.

All 4 markets monitored by TOWN & COUNTRY saw dramatic decreases in the Number of Home Sales with Orient (which includes East Marion and Greenport) dropping the most – 47% from 34 sales to 18 year over year.

Southold (which includes New Suffolk and Peconic) realized a 51% plunge in Total Home Sales Volume from $29M to $14.3M.

Jamesport (which includes Aquebogue, Baiting Hollow and South Jamesport) and Orient (which includes East Marion and Greenport) experienced increases in their Median Home Sales Price. Orient by as much as 11%.

Looking at All North Fork Markets Combined and the RED straight across the boards is glaring! All three criteria and all 6 price ranges monitored by TOWN & COUNTRY posted declines by as much as 35.5% in Total Home Sales Volume year over year, with the high end suffering the worst.

Doing a year over year analysis may not give the full and comprehensive picture. To illustrate let’s look at the 3rd Quarter 2013 and we see comparable figures as 2015. Thus the conclusion that 2014 was a banner year would be most correct. 

Click HERE for full report & statistics.

TOWN & COUNTRY NORTH FORK 1ST QUARTER 2015 HOME SALES REPORT

Monday, April 20th, 2015

It may have snowed 7 weekends in the first 3 months of 2015 but it certainly didn’t slow down the tempo of the North Fork Home Sales Market!

 

Three of the 4 markets monitored by TOWN & COUNTRY experienced increases in the Number of Homes Sales. In fact, 2 of the North Fork markets, Jamesport (which includes Aquebogue, Baiting Hollow and South Jamesport) and Mattituck (which includes Laurel and Cutchogue) both experienced significant increases of +45.5% and +43%, respectively.

 

Jamesport (which includes Aquebogue, Baiting Hollow and South Jamesport) had a blow away quarter statistically in all 3 criteria monitored by  TOWN & COUNTRY  with all prices ranges in the black. In fact, the Jamesport markets were the lead hamlets with +45.5%, +77%, and +17% for the Number of Homes Sales, Total Home Sales Volume and Median Home Sales Price respectively – all 3 record stats!

 

Surprisingly Orient (which includes East Marion and Greenport) took a back seat with a 33% drop in the Number of Homes Sales and 28% decline in the Total Home Sales Volume. The Median Home Sales Price remained relatively stable at $435,000 in 2015 from $427,500 in 2014 1st Quarter.

 

Looking at All North Fork Markets Combined and we see healthy gains of nearly 10% in the Number of Homes Sales Price as well as a 5.4% increase in Median Home Sales Price. There was a slight dip of 2.55% in the Total Home Sales Volume – which was most likely swayed by 2 less sales in the $2-$3.49M price category.

 

All told, I’m sticking with my prediction that the North Fork Markets are going to enjoy 2015 broadly!

 

To view the complete report visit 1TownandCountry.com/Reports.

 

Judi A. Desiderio, Chief Executive Officer

JD@1TownandCountry.com                    

631.324.8080 ext. 221

NORTH FORK 1ST QUARTER 2012 HOME SALES REPORT

Sunday, April 22nd, 2012

TOWN & COUNTRY’S 1st Quarter Homes Sales Report for the North Fork clearly demonstrates forward motion and a new trend as the investment opportunities on the North Fork are attracting customers from as far away as France and as near as Manhattan. As a continued emerging market, the future for the North Fork is, far and away, going to outshine the past.

If you can down to All North Fork Markets Combined you will see 66 of the 70 Home Sales recorded, or over 94% are sales below $1M.

Looking at specific markets you will see Southold (including New Suffolk and Peconic) and Orient (which includes East Marion and Greenport) enjoyed significant increases in sales activity with the Number of Home Sales increasing 62% and 117% respectively.

The Total Homes Sales Volume for Orient (which includes East Marion and Greenport) exploded by over 136% from $2.488 to $5.9M!

Overall the North Fork 1st Quarter Home Sales Report is heavily weighted by robust activity. Although there is a slight dip in Median Home Sales Price from $415,500 1st Quarter 2011 to $391,750 for the 1st Quarter 2012, the remarkable 40% jump in the Number of Homes Sales and a 23% increase in total Home Sales Volume speaks for itself.

To view more specifics on your particular locations visit http://www.1townandcountry.com/html/marketReports.php

Judi A. Desiderio, CEO
jd@1TownandCountry.com

**All information is deemed reliable and correct.  Information is subject to errors, omissions and  withdrawal without prior notice.

North Fork 4th Quarter 2011 Home Sales Report

Tuesday, January 17th, 2012

 

TOWN & COUNTRY’S  4th Quarter Homes Sales Report for the North Fork demonstrates a strengthening in 3 of the 4 markets we monitor.

Southold (which includes New Suffolk and Peconic) was clearly the star performer, with black clear across the board.  In Southold (which includes New Suffolk and Peconic), the Total Sales Volume nearly doubled from $9.8M in 4th Quarter 2010 to $19.5M in 4th Quarter 2011.  Furthermore, the Number of Home Sales rose over 30% from 23 to 30 and the Median Home Sales Price up 33% from $365,000 to $485,800.  A further look at the six price categories monitored by Town & Country tells the tale with 5 sales over $1M during 4th Quarter 2011 and zero in the same quarter the year prior.

The Eastern tip of the North Fork or Orient Market (which includes East Marion and Greenport) had a strong 4th Quarter in 2011 with a 23.5% increase in the Number of Home Sales, from 17 in 2010 to 21 in 2011 and a 35% increase in Total Home Sales Volume from $8.3M to $11.2M year to year.  There was a slight decrease in the Median Home Sales Price though from $495 to $415, 4th Quarter 2010 and 4th Quarter 2011.  

The Western End of the North Fork did not perform as well as the East – Mattituck (which includes Laurel and Cutchogue) saw decreases in all three criteria monitored by Town & Country, but not by much.

Looking at all North Fork Markets Combined and you see what the late fall, early winter home sales activity was.  The Number of Homes Sales grew 8.54% and the Total Homes Sales Volume increased 23.8%.  The Median Home Sales Price was flat with a slight 4.6% drop from $440 to $420.

The one eye opener is the price category of $1-1.99M which shot up 350% from 2 sales in 2010 to 9 in 2011 4th Quarter.  The North Fork high end is picking up momentum.

 

To view more specifics on your particular locations visit www.1TownandCountry.com/reports.

 

Judi A. Desiderio, CEO

jd@1TownandCountry.com •  631-324-8080

*Source: The Long Island Real Estate Report

**All information is deemed reliable and correct.  Information is subject to errors, omissions and  withdrawal without prior notice.

HAPPY NEW YEAR – IN REAL ESTATE on the North Fork

Tuesday, January 3rd, 2012

The big question is – what will 2012 bring in business – besides the health and peace we all hope for – especially in the Real Estate Market?

Is an investment in Real Estate a good one right now on the North Fork? In this blog I will try and provide a lot of information to allow you to come to one conclusion – besides the shear enjoyment of a (second) home in our beautiful East End region, an hour and a half outside of Manhattan’s mid-town tunnel…: YES!

Who would have thought that the budget deficit in Greece would affect the sale of your home in the US? With the huge amount of news we are bombarded with on a daily basis, what should we pay attention to (and what not) to make smart decisions? We need to incorporate in our decisions 1) a bit of economic history, 2) some international economic news , 3) US economic factors and finally, and 4) very local real estate concepts as all real estate in the end is hyper local.

The fall of Lehman in the fall of 08 was a first calamity, a tip of an iceberg making the world aware of unprecedented inter-connectedness caused by economic globalization. A globalization providing challenges but importantly also overall benefits for all participants – often overlooked in analysis. The USA and its “American Dream” tie more than any other country the success of its citizens to home ownership. A great system where banks provide mortgages, then re-sell them (to semi Government entities or private parties), and sell more mortgages allowing people the American Dream is unique in its multiplying effect in any developed world economy. The larger scale applications of futures (starting in the days of Aristotle to stabilize grain markets), options and and derivatives augmented this crisis of confidence and economies were thrown in unexpected tailspins. This finally resulted in doubts even in that rock of financial trust – the possibility of default in important economies’ souvereign debt as budget deficits sky rocket as a result of efforts to stabilize financial markets and stave off deep recessions world wide.

Repackaging good and bad loans and selling unscrupulous financial instruments caused an international crisis in confidence in worldwide financial markets. A crisis in general about the value of any collateral. But in three years we have come far in dealing with these issues, and I think the corrective pendulum swung to far and is about to swing back to the middle! Let’s not throw out the baby with the bath water when looking at the causes of economic troubles of 2008, and better understand and appreciate the improvements in the world ecomomy seen today. Let us not overlook the fact that these same maligned instruments properly applied provide businesses a stable planning opportunity, and that smart people profit even when markets go down. Isn’t it just unfair manipulation of markets to achieve such profits that we should be wary of? Hedgefunds in the US and worldwide use this principle-as flow of capital is more important in today’s world economy than production of goods and services. My point: not all effects of more complicated financial instruments are bad.

The good news in the US economy is – the doomsayers didn’t get their way in 2011 – but neither did the bulls. The economy remained flat and since August 2011 the European Souvereign debt crisis seems to dominate any economic news even today. But the news is getting better. Unemployment is finally improving – important precursor to a better Real Estate market. On the East End the bottom did not fall from under the Real Estate market, quite the contrary. As the following graph shows, the market has remained flat but has remained at much higher levels in tranactions and values than all the bad news would suggest- so is the glass half full or half empty? Data suggest it’s filling up again.

Real Estate Activity in New York North Fork Wine Country

Annual Real Estate Sales - Contracts Signed - North Fork

With respect to international news: the truth is: nobody knows for sure what the future will bring. But (according to Onno Ruding, past Treasury Secretary in the Netherlands, Executive Director for IMF, and executive at Citibank) when one looks at the balance of payments for the entire Euro zone things do not look as bad as one would expect from the news – hence the Euro which has not collapsed at all and is stable strong in a range of $1.20-$1.40 to the US Dollar (only a decade ago at 1:1 and nobody thought anything of it). German, Dutch and Finnish Unemployment all are at a long term low. In effect, this crisis of confidence has given rise to the idea of a “German Euro”, and a “Greek Euro” on the other side of the spectrum. The Euro is a strange hybrid of a monetary unity without economic and political unity for the sake of national souvereignty (mostly France’s identity). So is all the Euronews exeggarated in its influence on the US Economy and the US housing market? The fear and a doomsday scenario would be that a failure in Greece’s ability to meet its souvereign obligations might cause a domino effect to Portugal, Spain and Italy, and even France. But short of that happening, a default of just Greece would-worst case- not be catastrophic but quite manageable. I think you can make that case easily – as long as we do not see major unforeseen calamities in 2012, in which case all predictions fail.

In August, the Chief economist for NAR , Lawrence Yun spoke before the NYSAR conference and made an interesting statement: housing starts are not keeping up with household growth for the past three years, possibly creating a housing shortage if trends continue. Might I add that I think that the US consumer is plain tired of bad news – showing up in droves at the stores in the 2011 Holiday Shopping season?

All Real Estate is local, and everyone knows the saying “location, location, location”. So let’s look at the local facts first. I keep track of an interesting statistic: RE contracts signed, in what I call the “Real North Fork” market area, about from Rte 105 East. Please do not hold this statistic to precise measures, as it is very volatile, but the advantage is that it gives you a very quick overview of what the reports on closings later will tell you more exactly, it is a measure of the activity of RE sales in our market with very little delay. A great predictor.

Pictures speak louder than a thousand words, and the facts speak for themselves:

Residential Sales Contracts Signed North Fork - Over $ One Million - (from MLSLI)

2011 saw 34 transactions over $1 Million, vs 35 in 2010, 33 in 2009 and 2008, and 52 in 2007. The upper end of the market has undoubtedly stabilized. I have seen some very good prices fetched for very good properties – almost comparable to the top of the market in the most spectacular homes segment.

Number of Residential Contracts of sale signed in New York's North Fork Wine Country

Number of Residential Contracts of sale signed in New York's North Fork Wine Country

2011 saw 279 transactions vs 280 in 2010, 243 in 2009, 217 in 2008, and 293 in 2007 but this story is not complete without a picture of the median price and days on market:

Median Prices Contracts Signed North Fork WIne Country

Median Prices Contracts Signed North Fork WIne Country

Days on market before contracts were signed

Days on market before contracts were signed

The North Fork Market stabilized in the Summer of 2010. The full picture would indicate that properties for which contracts were signed seem to have taken longer to get to that point – but any experienced Real Estate broker will tell you that a well priced property sells quickly as there are buyers out there looking for opportunities. The median price of homes sold also is at the bottom of the three years as expected: it is either a beauty contest or a price war – and the buyers still have the upper hand here.

To make the right decision, and benefit from the trends these data show, follow our North Fork T&C experience in this market:

Tips for sellers: your pricing decision will determine if and when you will sell. This is what I would consider if I were selling my house: A good Realtor (r) will help you get first prize in the “beauty contest” and suggest ways to present your property in the best light. Make sure you Realtor (r) works full time – so any buyer can reach him or her easily, and so the home can be shown promptly and easily to buyers when they are available. Also make sure your Realtor makes use of the best technology available. Look at the way their listings show online before choosing an agent. And like-it-or-not: statistics show that most buyers today will find the property they are going to buy online. Feel free to use our Town and Country Website as a standard: again, a picture speaks louder than a thousand words and our state-of-the-art web technology showcases your home beautifully. Ask the question: where will your buyer come from? Does your agent have the wherewithall to reach that buyer? Is there a fit between his or her personality and the buyer you are trying to attract? Is the way this agent markets other properties attractive to that buyer for your home? In the end luck will play a role, but you can reallly improve your odds by selecting the right agent and the right RE company. If you were a buyer – would you enjoy looking at homes with this agent? Is he or she enthusiastic, happy, and a goal getter? All characteristics we look at before we ask associates to join Town and Country Real Estate.

Sellers: things are probably not going to get better quicklier than your running expenses if you hang on. Make use of the fact there’s a lot less market competition now with fewer properties on the market. And think of it this way: if you are going to make use of any buying opportunities after you sell- best to grab them now, so better to sell now and not wait! The only good reason to take a property off the market is if you do not want to sell. And buyers can afford your home now better now than in the (nearer) future- you can almost take that one to the bank.

Tips for buyers: work with a Realtor (r) who knows the market and loves Real Estate – only then will he or she be able to tell you which homes are the ones that you want to look at, know the ins and outs of each home, and allow you to use your time efficiently. You want to be ahead of the curve – once everybody catches on that the worst is over – you will be too late for the best time to buy. Come prepared with a mortgage pre-approval in hand. Be available and ready to go when a home pops up (either new on the market or suddenly lowered to the right price) – for a great deal you will have competition from other buyers and you need to be quick and ready to compete. This morning only 397 homes showed up on MLS, in a market area where normally 550 homes are on the MLS. So be prepared to act. Waiting will not get you a better deal – so if you find what you are looking for and the price is right – buy now while interest rates are still low.

To buy or not to buy is the question, or for sellers: to sell or not to sell. Buyers may have to pay higher interest rates if they wait longer, and I see prices going up. So buyers who are going to “wait and see” may well have to pay for that privilege. And don’t forget – what banks think buyers can afford will go down very quickly under that scenario.

Town and Country is excited to report that we are experiencing remarkable growth and development in this challenging market. Our T&C agents have helped more buyers and sellers succesfully conclude deals on the North Fork than ever before. December was the busiest month of December most of our agents can recall. Our careful selection of professionals to service your needs is responsible for that. Call us if you are interested in joining us in our success, to buy, sell, or rent, in our Mattituck office at 631 209 0600 or Southold office at 631 765 0500! At Town and Country Real Estate – we are quietly getting the job done.

IT’S TIME TO BUY THAT HOME

Tuesday, October 18th, 2011

Wall Street Journal's Jack Hough, titled his article on Saturday just that… "It's Time to Buy That House".
 

He discusses the National Association of Realtors, Housing Affordability Index, which Town and Country has written about several times this year, which was 183.7 in August. According to NAR a reading of 100 would indicate that the median income family with a 20% down payment can afford a mortgage on a median priced home.
 

Jack gives an example of a median priced home in greater Phoenix, purchasing it with 20%, at todays 4.12% interest rate, results in monthly payments less than half what the rental for the same home would be.

Of course, as we discussed many times in prior blogs, the banks are being piggy and not lending the money they should, even to qualified buyers. This must be rectified first, in order to move forward!
 

Personally, my sentiment has always been the same. I'd rather keep my money in "East End dirt", as I call it, rather than anywhere else on the planet!
 

As Kramer would say, "Buy, Buy, Buy".

NO-VACANCY SIGNS ARE GOING UP AT BRAND NEW “BLUE INN” IN EAST MARION FOR 4TH OF JULY WEEKEND

Friday, July 1st, 2011
Blue Inn at East Marion, North Fork

Montauk Hotelier Sam Glass succeeded in bringing the best of the North Fork and South Fork & the Hamptons together: the owner of Montauk’s Ocean Resort Inn is opening the Blue Inn this fourth of July weekend!

Visitors to the North Fork looking for a place to stay: pay attention! The Blue Inn will be the place to be beginning this weekend and no vacancy signs are going up quickly (still call to see if there are a few no-shows or cancellations – worth a try!!)

The renovations which took place since Sam Glass bought this famous North Fork watering hole and Inn last year made all the

Blue Inn Guestroom

rooms and suites conform to the highest standards in hospitality: clean, luxurious and tasteful! Each room has its own small kitchenette

The Blue inn is located conveniently on the Main Road in East Marion – only a few miles form hustling and bustling Greenport

Lavender by the Bay

Village with all its harbor-front shopping and dining. While you are relaxing on one of the rocking chair porches or sipping a cocktail at the Bar you’ll get a whiff of the breeze from the west where Lavender by the Bay has its neighboring acres fields of French Lavender blooming this weekend. It all spells out one thing: Relax and enjoy!

 

Worth a visit – and While you are out visit a few of Town and Country’s open houses on Saturday!

Welcome to the North Fork and Happy Fourth!

Porches with Rocking Chairs at the Blue Inn
 

A WEEKEND OF TOWN AND COUNTRY OPEN HOUSES ON THE NORTH FORK…

Saturday, August 21st, 2010

Aren’t Open Houses are a fun way to find the home of your dreams?

If you are looking for a home with a dock – this weekend is great: Town and Country Agents are making it possible to see quite a few -priced right- waterfont homes with private docks on the North Fork- for your convenience-no appointments needed!

Our T&C agents are professionals who know the RE market – that’s their business. So do not hesitate to pick their brains while you visit their open houses. Remember-they know the best homes on the market: ask them for their favorite listings! 

Click here for this weekend’s Open Houses

GET TO KNOW THE NORTH FORK – NEW YORK’S WINE COUNTRY

Saturday, December 26th, 2009
North Fork Merlot

Some 1.5 hours outside of New York City, some 20 minutes from most of the Hamptons,  by car, by Hampton Jitney or by Long Island Railroad, you will find the North Fork…. a tiny peninsula accross the Peconic Bay from its famous South Fork, the Hamptons. (click for a Map of the North Fork) 

Many New Yorkers call the North Fork their best kept secret: a place to live while working in the City, or a place for a second home and enjoy the good things of life. The North Fork is surrounded by water, the Long Island Sound on the North, with spectacular homes overlooking the dunes and high bluffs towards Connecticut. To the South the North Fork encounters the Peconic Bay The Bay’s topography is characterized by many creeks and inlets allowing for many waterfront homes with their own (deep water) docks, with access to what many consider the world’s nicest fishing grounds for Sea Bass, Fluke and Bluefish; Reydon Shoresclams and lobsters are plentiful and the burgeoning oyster industry is famous on menues at the best restaurants not just locally, or in the City, but recently even worldwide. And through Shennecock you can reach the Atlantic’s best fishing grounds (The Canyon)  for sportsfishing and some of the most delicous Tuna – in itself a reason to come visit the North Fork if you like eating fish. To the South, the Bay between the Hamptons and the North Fork is called Peconic Bay, home to many charming and old whaling ports (Orient, Greenport)  with its charming whaling villages (Orient and Greenport), and the Tip of the North Fork point into the Atlantic Ocean. 

The Long Island Wine Council can provide you with information on all vineyards: lots off family fun atMartha Clara Vineyards, but certainly do not leave the Island without tasting some of the local Champagnes. 

I will be atSparkling Point this New Year’s eve… a great new vineyard at Hortons Lane and the North Road in Southold, and great members of the Community.And for a serious Beautiful local Merlot: try the Macari Bergen Road Merlot…

The North Fork has succeeded in maintaining its rural, agricultural character, with a life style many modern cisitzens of the World aspire to: eat and drink local foods and wine, and be connected to the soil! We have come far from the days of endless potato farms – the potatoes left are now the finest only! But Satur Farms and Sang Lee Farms show how specialty farming can succeed: they now are purveyors of the finest and most delicious and healthy produce served in top restaurants.

There’s lots to do on the North Fork. Check this blog out for current affairs and stuff to do in this great place:

For New Years Eve: The restaurants are providing a great wealth of quality places to be romantic or to see and be seen. The crew of "The Romantics" (Tom Cruise and Katie Holmes, Murphy Brown’s Candice Bergen and Elijah Wood were seen hanging out in Greenport at FOB and the Frisky Oyster – for the celebrity watchers among you). And some local gossip: Dennis Mc Dermott sold his famous and successful restaurant and one of my favorite places to hang out: the Frisky Oyster in Greenport. New Year’s will be his last night, and we wish his chef success after taking over. And the FOB is sold to Noah, the chef of the Seafood Barge.  Change is good!

So come be a part of the North Fork and check things out. Stay a while, and let me and Nicholas at Town and Country help you find a place to stay more permanently if you like! We look forward to meeting you and introducing you to our local friends.

PRES OBAMA SIGNS HOUSING BILL

Saturday, November 7th, 2009

The United States Senate added tax credits for home buyers which includes an extension on the $8000 first-time home buyer tax credit. The current tax credit was set to expire the end of this month but now has been extended through June on contracts signed by April 30th 2010. Additionally, the new bill includes a $6500 tax credit for existing homeowners who buy a new home after living in their current home for at least 5 years. Such stimuli for the US housing market shall surely add to the emergence of the next healthy market trend from the tips of Montauk & Orient Point to the shoreline of the West coast!